★ Premium · Real-Time Policy Alpha ★
POWER
★ PLAYERS ★
We monitor the three people who move markets the most:
President Trump · The Fed · Elon Musk.
Every post, every speech, every tweet — classified, scored, and traded in seconds.
—Signals Tracked
—Tradeable Win-Rate
—Avg Move / Trade
52KPosts Backtested
Educational research · Not financial advice · Past performance ≠ future returns
THE BIG THREE MARKET MOVERS
Every post is tagged, classified, and journaled. Tradeable signals trigger same-day intraday positions.
Live Sentiment
+0.62
Net Bullish (broad market)
Last 24h: 8 tradeable signals. Dominant theme: tariff escalation.
Market Predictions
FXI↓ SHORTconf 64% · +0.23%
SPY↓ SHORTconf 48% · +0.10%
SPXL↑ LONGon buy-call · +13%
YANG↑ LONGinverse FXI · 3x
Recent Tradeable Posts
News Cross-Confirmation
Policy Stance
+0.04
Slightly Dovish (Powell-base)
Backtested: 2,203 Fed items 2017–2025. Powell speeches: 59% WR, +0.04% mean. FOMC press: 47% WR, +0.13%. Next FOMC: 14 days (Warsh's first as Chair).
Rate-Sensitive Plays
XLF↑ LONGon rate-cut · conf 60%
TLT↑ LONGdovish · bond bull
DXY↓ SHORTUSD weakens on cuts
GLD↑ LONGreal rates ↓
Recent Press Releases & Speeches
Macro Headlines
Posting Sentiment
+0.78
Killer subgroup found
DOGE meme + 200K-500K likes + weekday: n=17, 82% WR, +8.11% mean same-day. 2021 peak: 85% WR / +10.17%. Regime-dependent — best in crypto-mania periods. Premkt UTC hour-of-day: 56% WR / +2.13% mean (10× baseline).
Killer Subgroup + Backups
DOGE↑ LONG ★viral 200-500K · weekday · 82% WR / +8.11%
DOGE/BTC↑ premkt06-13 UTC tweets · 56% / +2.13%
SIGL↑ "use X"microcap pump · +69% / +439%
TSLA↑ SEC trigger"funding secured" · +5.19%
Recent Posts (Beta — X API gated)
Tech Headlines
RUN THE BOT YOURSELF
The full Trump Put trading framework is yours. Clone it, run the backtest, paper-trade it on Alpaca, keep journaling signals to your own SQLite. Multi-source feed, leveraged ETF translation, per-signal premarket gating, and the policy multiplex are all included.
# 1. Clone the framework
git clone https://github.com/cpwhite/trump_put.git
cd trump_put
pip install -r requirements.txt
# 2. Pull historical data + run backtest
python src/data_ingest.py --posts --prices
python analysis/full_backtest.py \
--min-strength 0.5 --confidence-filter \
--leveraged --queue-premarket
# 3. Dry-run against live CNN + Fed + WH feeds
python src/live_runner.py --dry-run --poll 60
# 4. Paper trade on Alpaca
export ALPACA_API_KEY=...
export ALPACA_API_SECRET=...
python src/live_runner.py --paper
# 5. Inspect the journal anytime
python src/journal.py stats
🦅
52K Backtested Posts
Every Trump tweet + Truth Social post from 2017 through October 2025, scored and outcome-matched against real yfinance prices.
📡
5 Live Feeds, Auto-Dedup
CNN mirror, trumpstruth.org RSS, federalreserve.gov press + speeches, whitehouse.gov news. Optional truthbrush direct API for sub-minute latency.
⚡
Leveraged ETF Translation
SPY long → SPXL (3x). FXI short → YANG (3x). TSLA long → TSLL (2x). Same risk model, ~3× the dollar P&L per move.
🧠
Self-Learning Journal
SQLite logs every signal — taken, skipped, why, P&L. After 30 days, run
journal.py rebuild-confidence to retrain on your own live data.
🛡️
Built-In Safety Rails
Per-signal pre-market gate. EOD force-close. 3% daily kill switch. Counter-signal handler. Confidence filter on by default.